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1/opponent |
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| seat
2/opponent |
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3/you |
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4 |
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seat 5 |
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6 |
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| Question:
Seat 5 brings it in and seat 2 raises; what should you do?
Answer: Fold
This isn't quite
the stealing position for king of heart with two players yet to
act, even though you look weak with one ten already out. Seat 2
is likely to have a strong hand, very possibly a pair of kings.
Other hands he can have in this spot are three broadway cards, a
flush draw or a small/medium pocket pair, all of which you can beat.
Yet, with a ten and a six already out, you will likely not improve
your hand all the way. If he does have kings or an overpair, you
are a huge underdog.
Even if your
opponent does not have kings, he definitely has a playable hand
against your dead ten's with any live pocket pair or an AQK and
you wouldn't quite know at what point he beat you unless he catches
a king on board. The best play is to fold. The ten's will come around
again.
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case
11 solution
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| seat
1/opponent |
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| seat
2/opponent |
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3/you |
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Note:
As you can see, your opponent was not bluffing. He indeed had the
kings and he would have ended up catching a third one while you would
not have improved at all, as expected.
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| seat
1 |
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| seat
2 |
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| seat
3 |
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| seat
4/you |
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seat 5/opponent |
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| seat
6 |
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| Question:
You raised on third street under the gun and you've been betting since.
Now your opponent is high and bets out, what should you do?
Answer: Fold.
You don't have enough outs.
While it was
okay to semi-bluff bet on fifth street, hoping that your opponent
will fold a weak hand or his dead jacks, he has now improved on
board and is betting into what looks like aces. He probably has
jacks up or a pocket pair, although it is also possible that he
has four flush. But guess what...it really doesn't matter what he
has. You're beaten on board and your opponent has two of the four's
that you need for a straight. There simply aren't enough outs for
you to beat his likely hand (two-pair). You need an ace, deuce or
four on the river to be able to bet/call the river, and if your
opponent is lucky to have or make a full house or a flush, that
will not even be good enough and will just get you in trouble. Get
out!!
This scenario
brings us to an important point that is crucial to all poker players.
Do not defend your ego. Yes, you raised on third street... you represented
aces and you were hoping to win. But your opponent obviously didn't
believe you or had something good himslef and kept calling. He knows
that you didn't have aces after you fold on sixth street, but be
proud that you did the right thing.
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case
12 solution
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| seat
4/you |
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| seat
5/opponent |
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Note:
Your opponent did indeed have jacks up and he happened to have the
deuce you needed as well, giving you even fewer outs for the river.
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| seat
1 |
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| seat
2/you |
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3 |
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4 |
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seat 5/opponent |
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| seat
6 |
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| seat
7 |
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| Question:
Your opponent had not raised on fourth street but had been betting
all along; what should you do?
Answer: Fold.
You started
with a pair of sevens and now you improved to an open-ended straight
and the cards you need for a straight or trips are pretty live.
However, your opponent has caught a very scary card. He may have
just made broadway, a flush, aces or aces up. Even if the ace didn't
actually help him just yet, it gives him more ways to improve on
the river. He now certainly has a straight draw and very possibly
a flush draw too. You must ask yourself two questions: 1) Can I
reasonably assume that I currently have the best hand? 2) Will I
be able to raise my opponent on the river if I catch the card that
I want?
The answer to
the first question is a resounding no. It is quite possible that
your opponent did not start with split kings. But if he started
with any playable hand other than a small pocket pair, he's got
you beat. If he started with any broadway card, straight draw or
flush draw he's got you beat. You can't just think wishfullly "well,
but maybe he's got nothing or perhaps pocket deuces".
The answer to
the second question is a resounding no as well. Since he may already
have a broadway or a flush and he might hit one on the river as
well, raising with your small straight or trips is extremely risky
and it could get you in trouble if you get reraised. You would therefore
only call on the river if you hit the straight or trips and possibly
with two pair as well.
The previous
two standards are the benchmarks for calling a sixth street bet
by an opponent who is showing a scary board and is betting aggressively.
If you don't meet these standards, you ought to fold without exception.
Sometimes you get bluffed, but it's quite unlikely and you're risking
too much on too weak a hand.
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case
15 solution
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| seat
2/you |
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| seat
5/opponent |
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Note: It turns
out that your opponent only had pocket fives and did not improve
at all! and neither have you improved. But that's just the point.
Since you probably wouldn't call the river with just seven's, and
even if you do improve you can ONLY call, it's too much of a long
shot and the correct move is to fold. On the long run, you will
save money by folding in these kind of spots against anyone but
a maniac who plays with nothing.
In reality,
it should have never come to this point. You probably shouldn't
have even called the fourth street bet. If you did call fourth street,
you should have been out by fifth street.
Note that your
improvement on fifth street to a gutshot straight draw was countered
by your opponent's possible improvement to a bigger -possibly open-ended-
straight draw. It is therefore not really useful. Improvement to
two pair would have been a great deal more appreciated in this kind
of situation.
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| seat
1 |
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| seat
2 |
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| seat
3 |
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| seat
4 |
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seat 5/opponen |
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| seat
6 |
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| seat
7/you |
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| Question:
Seat five and you both limped in. Seat 5 catches the ace and comes
out betting; what should you do?
Answer: Raise.
You have A pretty
strong draw here and you're not about to fold any soon with only
one club out and your opponet's relatively weak board. The fact
that he caught the ace shouldn't scare you at all since one is already
out and players don't usually play just an ace in the hole. Since
his most likely hand is a pair of sixes, you must take control of
the game if possible, and give your opponent a chance to fold a
winning hand on a later round if you catch a card that scares him.
By raising you are also "gaining information". While you
will certainly not fold if reraised, a reraise does tell you something
about your opponent's strength. An average player won't reraise
you with just sixes even if he thinks you're drawing to a flush.
A raise could therefore indicate a pair of aces or a big pocket
pair (or aces up).
This play is
consistent with our theory that the strong board should be in command
of the game. Bet strongly when your board is strong and be less
aggressive when it's not. Since your opponent only bought the ace
on fourth street, it isn't that much of a scare card; raise and
see where he's at.
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case
16 solution
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| seat
5/opponent |
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| seat
7/you |
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Note: Interestingly
enough, you caught two scary cards on fifth and sixth street and
you finally caught the flush on the river. The eight of heart looks
like it may have given you a straight or a straight draw (which
is true), and the nine of heart is an even scarier card posing the
threat of three-of-a kind. If your opponent had a big pocket pair
or even aces, he might fold now and you WANT HIM TO.
Clearly, regardless
of what your opponent has, your hand on sixth street is still weak
and the chances of you improving on the river aren't as certain
as it may seem. Your raise on fourth street presents a window of
opportunity for your opponent to fold in confusion. He'll be afraid
of a straight, river flush, trips and even a full house.
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| seat
1 |
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| seat
2/you |
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3 |
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| seat
4 |
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seat 5/opponent |
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| seat
6/opponent |
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| seat
7 |
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| Question:
Seat 5 bets out on fourth street and you just call with two pair,
hoping to put in a raise on a later street. Your opponent now pairs
his doorcard showing kings. What should you do?
Answer: Fold.
A key factor
taken into consideration is your opponent's fourth street card.
The four of clubs almost certainly did not help your opponent in
any way. It certainly didn't help him develop a straight or flush
draw. He's therefore probably betting a pair, either a pocket pair
or a pair of kings. Either way, you're beat and you're not likely
to improve. Even if you do, your opponent might improve to a bigger
full house himself, costing you even more money. The pot is still
small. Fold!
Note that in
some cases it is correct to stay. Notably, if your opponent checked
on fourth street, that could mean that he started with a flush draw
or big cards and he doesn't have a pair. However in the situation
in our example, our avbice is to fold.
Another consideration
is how live his and your cards are. In our example, even though
you haven't seen and ten's or three's out, this is only your seconday
consideration. Your primary consideration is whether your opponent
has two-pair (or better) and how live his cards are. Since his cards
seem to be as live as yours and you think he already has at least
two pair, you should fold.
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case
18 solution
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| seat
2/you |
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| seat
5/opponent |
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| seat
6/opponent |
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Note:
Your opponent had three kings on fifth street and he ended up with
a full house. Even if you had caught that lucky ten or three you would
have lost and it would have ended up costing you a ton of money after
you raise and you get reraised.
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| seat
1/opponent |
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| seat
2 |
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| seat
3/opponent |
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| seat
4 |
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seat 5/you |
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| seat
6 |
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| seat
7 |
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| Question:
Seat three bets in to you after pairing his door card, while you hit
a flush; what should you do?
Answer: Raise.
Never assume
that your opponent has a full house unless there are clues indicating
so. Normally, when your opponent pairs his door card, it indicates
trips at best (if there's no flush possibility). You are therefore
safe to raise him while you have the best of it.
This situation
is one that calls for alertness. Notice that there is one king and
two eight's out. This makes it considerably less likely that your
opponent has a full house already or that he will make it on the
river. It gives you more confidence to raise him and even bet the
river after he checks. If his cards were more live, you'd consider
just calling, or perhpas raising on sixth street and then checking
behind your opponent on the river if he check-raises.
The fact that
player 1 is still in doesn't really change your strategy. Some good
players will just call in this spot, hoping to trap player 1 into
calling with a weak hand, possibly a "dead draw" (drawing
to a hand that cannot possibly win). However, this is wrong, unless
you know that he's a bad player. Player 1 will almost certainly
fold with his likely one-pair hand facing two opponents with scary-looking
boards, especially if he hasn't been aggressive in his play thus
far indicating a weak hand. By just calling, you are making it cheap
for him to call if he has two pair and catch a miracle card on the
river to beat you. He is likely to fold for a raise, even if he's
got two pair, and you want him to. If he doesn't fold for the raise,
that's even better since he's making a mathematical error and is
drawing too slim to correctly call a double-bet for a pot of this
size.
Just calling
will almost certainly make you lose a bet, as far as player three
is concerned. Since he will frequently call you on the river with
two pair or trips but he is very unlikely to bet into you without
a full house facing a board like yours (possible straight and possible
flush), you are losing a big bet by not raising on sixth street.
The correct play is therefore to raise right away. Another reason
for raising is that this allows you to set up a bluff-raise at other
times when you have a similar-looking board but you don't quite
have the goods. The raise induces fear and inhibits your opponent
from calling on the river with weak hands.
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case
19 solution
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| seat
1/opponent |
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| seat
3/opponent |
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| seat
5/you |
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Note: Seat three
did indeed have trips and as you predicted did not fill up on the
river.
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| seat
1/opponent |
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| seat
2/you |
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| seat
3 |
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| seat
4 |
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seat 5 |
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| seat
6 |
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| seat
7 |
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| Question:
player 5 and 1 both limped in on third street along with you. On fourth
street they both pair their door card and the aces comes out betting
the max while you make a four-flush. What should you do?
Answer: fold!
It is extremely
tempting to call in this spot, especially considering that the diamonds
are live but calling here is emphatically wrong and there are many
reasons for this:
1) you are giving
too much away about your hand while your opponent's hand remains
unknown to you. Your opponent has a very good idea about what you're
playing; he's knows that you have to have at least two-pair or trips
to have his aces beat on fourth street and justify a call. These
possibilities are both unlikely. When he sees a suited door card,
he knows that you're playing a flush draw and he is therefore likely
NOT to pay you off if you hit another diamond on board. The only
time he will possibly pay you off is if you hit it on the river
and he can't see it, but that means that you'll be calling many
big bets to get to that point and you will be going in to the river
as an extreme underdog.
2) You have
too few outs if you don't hit the flush. Note that the very least
you can win with -if you don't make the flush- is two-pair. Contrast
this with playing a flush against an opponent who makes a small
pair on fourth street and you have overcards, in which case you
might even win with one big pair. In that case, you might also win
by catching two big pair or big trips even if your opponent already
has two pair or trips or makes it later. Against aces, however,
you can't win with two pair if he's got two pair and you can't win
with trips if he's got trips. You have no other outs here and you
should therefore not play.
3) your opponent
is boss here. He will be betting all the way even with just aces
and you will have a very tough time trying to bluff him out. A small-paired
door card is much weaker and will probably stop betting on fifth
street if that's all he's got. He is also very prone to be bluffed
out even before the river if your board is showing a coupl of overcards
and you are betting aggressively.
Remember, no
matter how live your flush draw is on fourth street it's still extremely
easy to catch three off-suited cards. You have to be LUCKY to catch
that fifth suited card. (you normally will make a flush 47 persent
of the time; see our stats
page). It's just not worth playing for it when the pot is small
and the situation is not right. This may have been the first time
in hours that you've had a four-flush first-four, but you have to
let it go here even if you don't think either one of your opponents
has trips or even two-pair.
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case
20 solution
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| seat
3/you |
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| seat
4/opponent |
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Note: Fortunately,
if you had disobeyed our advice and you did play the flush, it wouldn't
have cost you the sixth street bet. After your opponent makes aces
up on board, it is foolish to still call hoping to make a flush
when you can easilly be beat already. Note that your opponent initially
entered the pot with a flush draw and had not only aces up going
into the river but he also had a four flush AK-high. This means
that if he improves at all on the river, you canot possibly win
and you don't know that. As far as you're concerned, he may have
a full house already.
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